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Two-thirds of Americans say they are ready for a female president
If you ignore everthing else I have to say, just listen to this next sentence:
Cruz has absolutely zero chance of becoming the nominee.
There is zero chance of that being the case. He simply does not have a broad enough appeal. America is moving more to the left with each passing year, so if someone like Cruz is the best thing the Republican party has to offer it's a sad state of affairs. I mean, it basically means its basically a one party race at that point. Cruz is the very definition of unelectable. I can see what you're saying with regards to the delegate counts, I just cannot find it in me to believe that the republican party would be THAT brain dead dumb.
Dench's M helped with this I am sure.
I would be horrified if Cruz was the nominee. As someone who is about as close to being a Republican without having actually registered as one, I don't want to see "my" party choose someone like him as the nominee. But, it is a possibility at this point.
Plus, I'd say you have a much better opinion of the current state of the Republican party than I do. :D Given the position we find ourselves in today, with a two-man race between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, I'd say that they already have already gone down the route you describe in your last sentence. :)
You're right about that! :))
Still it would be nice to think that there was some genuine party competition, as apposed to one side going with the ultra establishment candidate (Hillary is a reptile in disguise), and the other side having to decide between some whack job fundamentalist and a circus clown.
The US has been moving left for years.
Granted, it's mostly on social issues, which have been long-overdue. But, it's also politically. They just said a few seconds ago on CNN that the political makeup of the country has been changing since Ronald Reagan took office, with most of the electorate moving to an "independent" identification rather than identifying with the Democrats or Republicans. Their numbers also bear out that the Republicans have suffered the most migration in this process.
While it's true that independents can just as easily vote Republican as Democrat, I would say that they're still to the left of the Republican party because they obviously have to identify with some aspects of the Democratic party or other left-leaning groups to call themselves independents, otherwise they'd be Republicans or backing similarly conservative groups.
Thank you for that information.
For us "outsiders" it is somewhat puzzling what is going on in this election.
Sure, we are accustomed to this circus, 2008 was particularly funny with the infamous Sarah Palin, but this year is beating everything.
You wouldn't believe how Trump is dominating the press here as well. One could almost think he is running for Switzerland or Germany :)) there is so much coverage.
Personally I'd prefer Trump any day over Cruz. I'm quite worried Cruz might get the ticket in the end. Against him George W. Bush/Cheney are harmless choir boys.
You're welcome.
The only way Cruz gets the nomination is to outright get 1,237 delegates. If it comes down to an open convention, Cruz won't get it. At that point, the establishment will be in the driver's seat to choose a nominee, with Trump (assuming he has more delegates than Cruz at that point) sitting in the best position of the declared nominees.
If it comes to an open convention, though, I can't see Cruz getting it. The establishment hates him. His colleagues in Congress outright despise him as well. There's a reason that he can't get endorsements. He won't be able to coalesce those delegates behind him to get him the nomination unless he secures those delegates in advance through their being bound by the popular vote in the initial rounds of voting.
Which US? An alternate reality US?
The US I live in has been moving RIGHT for years. Fascism has taken hold and Robocop-style police brutality is now an accepted thing. Drone strikes, eminent domain, fraking for profit on government held land whilst destroying aquifers.... it's OCPville...
I think that these things are being discussed and heatedly debated shows that we are moving to the left. Most of what you're talking about are supported by the right, or those that would claim to associate themselves with the right (but are really just fringe factions of the right). The left is generally opposed to these ideals, and we're seeing the public sentiment towards them moving more and more to the anti-side than the pro-side.
Now, we're nowhere near the kind of leftist country that some of the European socialist countries are, but we're moving left. It's a slow move, but we're moving that way. We've been moving left on social issues at a much faster clip, though.
Bernie Sanders is just the beginning. There is a revolution coming, I think, that will see America moving into the European model of capitalism supplemented by democratic socialism. The hedge fund guys have reason to panic, IMO.
We reach, brother.
yeah, but that younger generation will be ripe for the picking in another 5 years. These things are slow, but patience is a virtue.
( Only joking guys, don't want to start another war )
Thye will start plenty new wars when Trump gets the job, the first one with Mexico when they tell him what to do with his wall and a place where the sun never shines.
:D
To be President. :D
If Trump becomes president and they actually reach the point where he has to sit down with his Mexican counterpart to begin that negotiation, they ought to televise it. The comedy factor of watching the Mexican president tell him off would be hilarious.
What Trump's hardcore supporters, much like Bernie's hardcore supporters on the left, don't realize is that what he's proposing isn't going to happen. Even if the GOP holds both houses of Congress, Trump's wall isn't going to get built. They're not going to allocate the $8-12 billion it would cost for him to begin construction on it. Trump can campaign all he wants to on building the wall, but I think it's fairly safe to say that come 2020 we're going to be able to look at the US/Mexico border and see it look fairly similar to the way it does now.
I'm not going to argue with you about the cost of such a wall but you have to know that walls have been built before and some are currently in the works in the middle of Europe, which is grotesque but it really happens and obviously it is possible to do it even if a state (Hungary for example) has a huge debt.
It's not the debt that's going to keep Trump from building the wall, though. They could easily build the wall, and the estimated $8-12 billion it would take to build it wouldn't even but a dent in the national debt by keeping that money in reserve.
Congress won't allocate the money on purely ideological grounds. Trump may want the wall, but he'll have to go through Congress to get it. Can't see it happening, given how the GOP is desperate, after Romney's failed 2012 bid, to win back some support from those that they turned off with his "self deportation" platform on immigration.