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Now the target looks like to be the adjusted gross of QoS ($753 million) in order to become the 11th highest grossing Bond film adjusting for inflation.
For Oscars: Original Song is a good bet; maybe Cinematography ... and Production Design? And perhaps an outside shot for a top-ten Best Film nomination? NTTD may have appeal for older Academy voters ...
There you go. Those are adjusted to September 2021 inflation.
https://www.google.it/amp/s/www.lovemoney.com/galleries/amp/116955/every-james-bond-movie-ranked-by-box-office-gross
Thanks!
There is another variable that might explain what has happened in the U.S.: Universal didn't distribute the film here. I am not sure how/if the marketing might have been different, but it sure is odd that the one part of the globe that Universal had no hand in is the part where it mildly underwhelmed at the BO. To me, that's not a coincidence.
Don't think so.
All the predictions don't have NTTD in the Top 5 in ANY category, not even "Best Song":
https://variety.com/feature/2022-oscars-predictions-academy-awards-nominations-1234965583/
The Oscars are more about politics than art.
I think NTTD will crawl to 3rd place with a final total of £96 million.
In the US it looks like it may have the legs to surpass A Quite Place 2 ($160 million).
In China it will finish with $60/65 million even without a promotional tour, besting SF.
Correct. The academy voters probably have never seen a Bond film.
True, but Spectre also underperformed in the US didn't it?
So you think the political "NTTD saves the worldwide cinema"-Story will still get the film to some nominations? Don't think so.
When you look at the front runner in the main categories ("Belfast"), it's a "white" movie by an old white man.
So that has to be about art, not politics.
NTTD would never be an Oscar contender, not if it were about art, and not if the Oscars were about politics. It's just an entertaining movie, but not one of the best in any Oscar category.
This is how I see it going, too. Craig made such an impact and carried his audience with him - many people came in with CR and Craig will always be 'their' Bond. Which is as it should be. But EON will now be looking to give future (younger) audiences a Bond that they in turn feel is 'theirs'. Not sure of the tactics, but that'll be the strategy, I think. The new guy won't be Daniel Craig and the next film won't be Casino Royale, though, so it'll be difficult to replicate that level of impact and connection. Following Craig is a massive ask.
If NTTD manages to bring another $35 million from NA and China plus another whooping $50 million from Australia then, maybe, it may be possible, even tho a $770/780 million total sounds more plausible. Let's see if the box-office will be kinda damaged from the fact that from tomorrow the film will be available on every torrent site online...
You have to think of the long term life of the franchise. Eons and Amazon’s long term plan will have to replace the older fans who either stop going to cinema or are no longer here in 20 years...
Agreed.
Yeah, whoever the new guy is, he's got the hardest job in Bond since Lazenby. Unless they really hit it out of the park, it could well be a poisoned chalice.
In Barbara we trust!
Good question: I don't know. I think it underperformed everywhere. But that's because Skyfall had set the bar very high.
SF was the outlier that subsequently raised expectations. I think CR and Qos did $140-$160m each, so in regard to that SP performed better than those. NTTD is on par (but with a pandemic).