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Also, claiming that the Chinese market is the new Hollywood market like @Scaramanga1974 has done is rather old news. Especially now that President Xi Jinping is looking to control every aspect of the Chinese economy, culture and education, at the same time cracking down on foreign and individualistic influences from this year onwards. The likely outcome could mean far less American movies being shown in China by this time next year.
While the screening that I attended yesterday afternoon (Saturday 10/9) appeared to be a near sell-out based on the availability of tickets on line, it didn’t seem full. In fact, it appeared to be only about half full. Part of that have been due to the Alamo Drafthouse’s rules about maintaining a “buffer” between parties: both seats on either side of me were empty, for example. In addition, the COVID-19 vaccine requirement (in New York City), may have deterred some attendees.
And perhaps, its’ just my impression, but the crowd at my screening sat on its’ hands for much of the time. There were a few audible “wow” moments, but for the most part…. silence. That said, I enjoyed NTTD and plan to see it again. Perhaps I need to see it with the guys and girls of this discussion board 😊.
The impact of the 163-run time on reducing scheduled screenings (in some places, but not at the Alamo ) and the movie’s length may have deterred some older folks (restroom break!!).
As for the importance of the US market; while it is true that the US accounted for less than 25 percent of worldwide grosses for SP, it is still has outsized media importance. And often, more causal movie goers can be turned off/on by the perception of a film’s failure or success at the box office based on media accounts. With NTTD, time will tell, I guess. If the $55 million projection proves true, Monday’s media headlines will be VERY interesting.
Oh, I agree!
My post wasn't directed at you, but at certain... fans who get bent out of shape over the U.S. box office and imply that American audiences are stupid (or at least have no taste) because VENOM 2 is outperforming a Bond movie.
https://deadline.com/2021/10/no-time-to-die-weekend-box-office-1234852700/
International totals, which beat expectations I believe:
I won't complain if it goes to HBO Max in a few weeks....
I think they should’ve launched it same weekend as UK and Europe. Venom 2 didnt move there until a few weeks back, there was even talk of it being delayed until 2022 very recently.
If they want the UK to have it first, then launch Thurs and the US on Fri. Easy peasy.
The reason for the week delay was to allow a full marketing push in both the UK and US. Bond was everywhere in the US this week and it doesnt seem to have had a huge effect on the B.O figures.
This forum was waaay not realistic with the predictions.
This movie has to be saved by the international box office.
The numbers are not comparable to anything in the past cause of the pandemic.
If you want to see if this movie is a success compare it to Shang-Chi, Fast 9, Venom, Spider-Man and whatever comes up in the next few months.
That will tell you if the movie is doing alright or of it's a massive flop
Here are some comparisons so far for US BO numbers opening weekend:
NTTD: 56m usd
Venom: 90m
Shang-Chi:75m
Black Widow: 80m
Fast and Furious 9: 70m
Quiet Place 2: 47m (this is the movie that restarted theatres this year after the boring summer)
Free Guy: 28m (but had strong legs)
Jungle Cruise: 35m
Godzilla vs Kong: 31m
Cruella: 21m
Space Jam 2: 31m
So, comparing it to movies form earlier in the year.... it's doing alright.
Comparing it to the new, rejuvinated box-office................it's not good.
Next week will be MASSIVE to see what to expect.
Here's what to look for:
50-55% drop from this weekend - expected
45% drop - pretty good!!!
40% and below - wow!
55% -60% drop - not good.
60% and above - terrible
so yeah, expect the movie to make like 25m maybe next weekend.
My predictions were right, it seems:
Expect 150-175m in the US BO. Maybe less if they think he movie sucks.
We'll see more next week and we can judge it's legs in the rest of the world. I think that Shang-Chi's numbers right now are a great great comparable point for NTTD. A movie that is part of a big franchise (MCU) with a big fan base.
Bond is definitely bigger than Shang-Chi so it really should beat ShangChi by...at least 100 m? 50m? idk, we'd see...
But if somehow it ends close to it.... that's bad....really bad. I think it should be close to the expectations tho, right now Shang-Chi is at 390m probably wil end close to it, maybe 400m at most? idk.....
It seems that the movie may not be a big success... 450 m ...idk if we can call that success when Fast9 has 750m
Interesting times for sure. We'll be back next week with more speculation and armchair analysing :D
It all depends on worldwide numbers. 550 m is not the worst in a pandemic era. 500? eeh..so-so . 450? That's a flop.
I think it will be big in the rest of the world tho and it will be saved
That's funny, I thought both were set (largely, but not entirely) in America because that's they way Fleming wrote the novels.
The whole marketing was that for this Bond and that's the reason it failed
"oh, we think the old Bond was kinda terrible, you know? It's time for a new 007, you know? It's time to kill the old tropes. Bond is not a murderer that likes jokes, sex and cars. He's as human with emotions and he's a terrible human being. And he has a brother and a wife and a stepfather too. Mellissa McCarthy as the next Bond? Heh, never say never! It's time to look forward!"
Like imagine if the Batman director goes out and says "Yeah, Batman is a terrible character really. He's out of touch and there's no place for Batman in 2021. That's why we updated him. He'll wear a pink suit. Also Bats? Eeeh... he will be dressed like a pig. Our brand of BATman can exist even if BATMAN is not dressed like a BAT. Just like the "James Bond 007" brand can exist when there's someone that's not James Bond as 007. CGI Barbra Walters as the next Batman? Never say never! Batman is a codename technically?"
I know studios are out of touch with what people want, and are so self-indulgent and overezealous with what they think is normal or right, but surely Broccolli will realize the mistake they've done with NTTD...right?
Yeah, I can't be sure anymore.
Maybe the franchise is dead, and we will play with its corpse for a while.
"Bond Junior Jr" a new animated show on Amazon! "Double Oh" - a new spin-off TV show on Amazon! "0069 - the porn parody" only on Amazon! "Jane Bond" - the alternative universe James Bond movie only on Amazon! "Bond" - the gritty retelling of the books only on Amazon! "Catch Ben Stiller as James Bond in the new comedy reimagining of James Bond!", "Idris Elba and Beyonce as James and Bond in the new psychological drama that ponders - what if James Bond had a split personality? Only on Amazon, this fall!
I mean if the people in charge of the franchise don't care for the character... why should anyone else.
There’s probably a reason the children of the 60s didn’t care so much for Flash Gordon and buck Rogers of the 1930s. It’s the same now, but we are the old farts.
To secure the long term continuation of the series they need to be intelligent and change with out sacrificing the character.
Ultimately though if your the type of person to go looking for morale lessons in a film about an assassin and then complain when you don’t find them, you need to have a word with yourself anyway.
"Hey you, your in my seat!"
Well, yes and no. These are still action movies with broad appeal. Comparisons to a karge extent will obviously be made. It's not like we're comparing an action movie with a romcom here.
With the competition coming up I doubt it will reach much more than 120 domestically. Will it hit 500 elsewhere? Maybe. A grand total of around 600 seems possible but not not likely.