Skyfall: Billion Dollar Bond

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  • HASEROTHASEROT has returned like the tedious inevitability of an unloved season---
    Posts: 4,399
    i dont know if it'll surpass Goldfinger... but if it's already over $500 mil after 3 weeks, it stands a good chance... we'll see though - it should definitely surpass Live And Let Die though..
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,355
    This time next week, we'll have a new highest grossing Bond film - unadjusted. The press will love that.

    Six markets left to open now:

    Cambodia - 15 November
    Australia - 22 November
    New Zealand - 22 November
    South Africa - 30 November
    Japan - 1 December
    Dominican Republic - 6 December

    Next week will be a bigger test around the world with Twilight. Numbers should start to fall somewhat.
  • HASEROTHASEROT has returned like the tedious inevitability of an unloved season---
    Posts: 4,399
    Samuel001 wrote:
    Next week will be a bigger test around the world with Twilight. Numbers should start to fall somewhat.

    with that abomination opening, i think Skyfall will probably fall to about $50 mil.... but we shall see... it would be nice if Skyfall could hold on to that #1 spot through Thanksgiving..

  • One other thing. I do think that 'Skyfall' can do a similar thing on the international market, excluding USA, that 'The Dark Knight Rises' did. Perhaps even better. So the 900 million worldwide gross is still in reach.
  • HASEROT wrote:
    Samuel001 wrote:
    Next week will be a bigger test around the world with Twilight. Numbers should start to fall somewhat.

    with that abomination opening, i think Skyfall will probably fall to about $50 mil.... but we shall see... it would be nice if Skyfall could hold on to that #1 spot through Thanksgiving..

    True, but these are different markets. As long as 'Skyfall' doesn't fall as hard as 'Quantum Of Solace' and keeps in line of the very slow falls of 'Casino Royale', then 'Skyfall' will keep soaring around the planet.

    Moreover, the positive buzz surrounding 'Skyfall' will only help it.
  • DarthDimiDarthDimi Behind you!Moderator
    Posts: 24,159
    Wow, 500 mil in three weeks, with the American market just opening itself up to SF. Impressive to say the least!
  • Glorious Bond days are BACK gents & gals ;-)!
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,355
    One other thing. I do think that 'Skyfall' can do a similar thing on the international market, excluding USA, that 'The Dark Knight Rises' did. Perhaps even better. So the 900 million worldwide gross is still in reach.

    $632,902,188 is what that film did meaning $267,097,812 would be needed from the US. A big ask and it'd need a good hold.

    Next week what will it do? $50 million, $45 million? Hopefully no lower than that.
  • Samuel001 wrote:
    One other thing. I do think that 'Skyfall' can do a similar thing on the international market, excluding USA, that 'The Dark Knight Rises' did. Perhaps even better. So the 900 million worldwide gross is still in reach.

    $632,902,188 is what that film did meaning $267,097,812 would be needed from the US. A big ask and it'd need a good hold.

    Next week what will it do? $50 million, $45 million? Hopefully no lower than that.

    I truly think that if 'Skyfall' was really our 'Quantum Of Solace' (quality-wise), then this would be quite impossible. QOS fell so hard after its first week, I think around 67% in the US only. Those kind of figures we will not see from 'Skyfall'. Word-of-mouth is just too positive. And even if 'Twilight' catches up hard, then 'Skyfall' has got some chance to actually gain back some market in about two weeks, two-and-a-halve weeks from now.
  • This is an excellent result from the US opening. I am hoping that they undersestimated the Sunday figures and the actual 3 day opening gets to over $90m...We all know that Twilight is going to get to number 1 next week with a much bigger opening but I don't think that SKYFALL will drop percentage wise on the levels of QOS. Maybe a fall of 45%. However the weekend after is Thanksgiving in the US and films usually have a surge in grosses from the previous weekend. Based on this weekends huge opening and the positive reviews I think that SF will become the first Bond film to gross $200m in the US. Has any film opened to this figure and not grossed over $200m...?
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,355
    I don't think so. $200 million is a lock at this point.
  • When you add in future DVD, Blu-ray and TV rights, I wonder how much extra that would equate to?
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,355
    Quite a nice sum I would imagine, though this has no doubt been the case for the last 15 years or so.
  • Creasy47Creasy47 In Cuba with Natalya.Moderator
    Posts: 40,960
    'Twilight' will most certainly take the number one spot and hold it for some time. Not looking forward in the slightest to having to see it this upcoming Friday. I'll make up for it with another viewing or two of SF.
  • The only film to open to over $80m in the US and not make $200m at the US Boxoffice is X-Men: Origins Wolverine. It opened to $85,058,003 and finished its US gross with $179,883,157

    I think its safe to say that SF will do over $200m in the US.
  • edited November 2012 Posts: 5,745
    To the mod who edited the title, you could have edited the original post as well! :P

    Haha thanks, anyway.
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,355
    Might be better to say that the $518.6 million is worldwide as well!
  • Posts: 5,745
    Samuel001 wrote:
    Might be better to say that the $518.6 million is worldwide as well!

    You mean international? It is included in the title. The "Int."
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,355
    No worldwide. International plus US = worldwide gross.
  • Posts: 5,745
    Samuel001 wrote:
    No worldwide. International plus US = worldwide gross.

    Oh.. well when I wrote International I did mean including US and international grosses, but I will fix it. Didn't realize is was perceived differently.
  • $200 million dollars for Skyfall in the US - would this mean a failure for Skyfall or is the American market not so important that more?
  • $200 million dollars for Skyfall in the US - would this mean a failure for Skyfall or is the American market not so important that more?

    That would be considered a big success for the US.

  • OwenDavian wrote:
    $200 million dollars for Skyfall in the US - would this mean a failure for Skyfall or is the American market not so important that more?

    That would be considered a big success for the US.

    Considering the latest Spider-Man movie did $250million (shoulda done more tbh, I loved it. Sadly the next weekend was followed by Ice Age and then TDRK so it couldn't really grow much) this means Skyfall can truly be ranked among the heavyweights at this year's US Box Office.
  • Posts: 12,526
    Still fantastic box office takings regardless though!
  • could still reach the one billion mark, half way there
  • Posts: 1,548
    Would love to be proved wrong but there is no way SF will make a billion. It would have to make at least 250 million in the US which aint gonna happen due to that crappy vampire franchise that's about to be unleashed (for the final time thankfully!). Too many twi-hards in the US unfortunately!
  • Samuel001 wrote:
    There's no way this 007 adventure will give Batman a run for his money, in any area bar the UK.

    Well, in France, in 1 week and a half, Skyfall has already done more than TDKR's first 5 weeks. It should probably do more than TDKR's total run at the end of this week.

    As far as other French speaking countries are concerned, exactly the same can be said for Belgium and Switzerland.

    In the "other" big European market (Germany) Skyfall is not crushing TDKR as much, but well Skyfall did in 2 weeks more than TDKR in 3...

  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,355
    Very good to hear that @Suivez_ce_parachute, if only the same could be said for the US.

    Any ideas how much this film could make in Japan come release?
  • Posts: 1,548
    Has Skyfall done enough to get Bond 24 greenlit yet? lol
  • "@boxofficemojo

    RT @raysubers: Back-of-the-envelope math has Skyfall doing at least $900 million worldwide, and $1 billion isn't out of the question. "
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