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i'm confused you think Twilight and Skyfall are competing for no2 in the US? If so there is no chance in the world Skyfall or TL will finish no2 in the US this year. Hobbit will finish probably 2nd W.W for 2012 behind the Avengers a slim chance at passing the Avengers With Skyfall in 3rd or 4th W.W for 2012.
That'd be my prediction, too.
The current status is Ice Age 4 : 6.588 M viewers "final", and Skyfall : 6.352M ongoing including 220.000 done this week. The first rough computation says that with a 50% steady fall, it will end 6.570M, just behind it. And 50% may be a too strong hypothesis.
"Alas", final box office are not so final(*), one has to wait for a few months to have the real final figures (differences can then be significative and cannot be predicted, it's only accounting stuff "really" taking into account "everything"...).
Also, Ice 4 will be re-released here during Xmas in a few cinemas.
(*)for the anecdote, TDKR is still been shown in a few US cinemas. This Monday for instance, it did 3000$...
Great Skyfall number 1 till The Hobbit. Great for Life of Pi as well great movie.
This is what I was wondering. I'll be completely free and on Christmas Break around December 17th, and I was hoping the film would still be in theaters so my friends and I could go out to see it.
So - it predict 285 mill and No 1 spot in a weak weekend.
Will be close between Lincoln and Skyfall hopefully Skyfall win win.
PLUS 623 mill in the foreign market = 908 million after upcoming weekend :-D.
G.G i think $285 mil is the final predicted gross Skyfall will be at about $260 mil end of this weekend.
Furthermore, I have updated the list in such a way now, so that you can also use it as a 'watchlist'. Movies with a '▪' are part of a spy/actionhero movie franchise. Movies with a '▫' are rebooted movies or remakes. Movies with a '∞' are based on previous tv-series.
Predictions for 'Skyfall' in the upcoming weekend look very rosy. Bond will most likely return to 1st spot in the USA. And after upcoming weekend 'Skyfall' will have most likely banked $285 million, passing the $900 million worldwide gross on Monday.
Meanwhile, 'The Dark Knight Rises' is still adding 'small amounts' of money to its worldwide gross. Will 'Skyfall' stay in cinemas much longer than previous Bond films too? *UPDATED THURSDAY DECEMBER 6TH 2012*:
001) $1,081,002,404 -- 'Batman 8: The Dark Knight Rises' (2012) IMDB: 8.8 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $448,100,216 - 41.5%
foreign (rest) gross: $632,902,188 - 58.5%
002) $1,003,045,358 -- 'Batman 7: The Dark Knight' (2008) IMDB: 9.0 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $534,858,444 - 53.2%
foreign (rest) gross: $469,700,000 - 46.8%
003) $872,433,656 -- 'JAMES BOND 23: SKYFALL' (2012, AFTER 42 DAYS IN CINEMAS) IMDB: 8.1 ▪
DOMESTIC (US) GROSS: $249,433,656 - 28.6%
FOREIGN (REST) GROSS: $623,000,000 - 71.4%
004) $825,532,764 -- 'Inception' (2010) IMDB: 8.8
domestic (US) gross: $292,576,195 - 35.4%
foreign (rest) gross: $532,956,569 - 64.6%
005) $786,636,033 -- 'Indiana Jones And The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull' (2008) IMDB: 6.4 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $317,101,119 - 40.3%
foreign (rest) gross: $469,534,914 - 59.7%
006) $694,713,380 -- 'Mission: Impossible 4 - Ghost Protocol' (2011) IMDB: 7.4 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $209,397,903 - 30.1%
foreign (rest) gross: $485,315,477 - 69.9%
007) $624,386,746 -- 'Hancock' (2008) IMDB: 6.5
domestic (US) gross: $227,946,274 - 36.5%
foreign (rest) gross: $396,440,472 - 63.5%
008) $599,045,960 -- 'James Bond 21: Casino Royale' (2006) IMDB: 7.9 ▪ ▫ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $167,445,960 - 28.0%
foreign (rest) gross: $431,600,000 - 72.0%
009) $586,090,727 -- 'James Bond 22: Quantum Of Solace' (2008) IMDB: 6.7 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $168,368,427 - 28.7%
foreign (rest) gross: $417,722,300 - 71.3%
010) $546,388,105 -- 'Mission: Impossible 2' (2000) IMDB: 5.9 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $215,409,889 - 39.4%
foreign (rest) gross: $330,978,216 - 60.6%
011) $543,848,418 -- 'Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows' (2011) IMDB: 7.6 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $186,848,418 - 34.4%
foreign (rest) gross: $357,000,000 - 65.6%
012) $524,028,679 -- 'Sherlock Holmes 1' (2009) IMDB: 7.5 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $209,028,679 - 39.9%
foreign (rest) gross: $315,000,000 - 60.1%
013) $478,207,520 -- 'Mr. And Mrs. Smith' (2005) IMDB: 6.4 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $186,336,279 - 39.0%
foreign (rest) gross: $291,871,241 - 61.0%
014) $474,171,806 -- 'Indiana Jones And The Last Crusade' (1989) IMDB: 8.3 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $197,171,806 - 41.6%
foreign (rest) gross: $277,000,000 - 58.4%
015) $457,696,359 -- 'Mission: Impossible' (1996) IMDB: 7.0 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $180,981,856 - 39.5%
foreign (rest) gross: $276,714,503 - 60.5%
016) $450,717,150 -- 'Ocean's Eleven' (2001) IMDB: 7.7 ▪ ▫
domestic (US) gross: $183,417,150 - 40.7%
foreign (rest) gross: $267,300,000 - 59.3%
017) $442,824,138 -- 'The Bourne Ultimatum' (2007) IMDB: 8.1 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $227,471,070 - 51.4%
foreign (rest) gross: $215,353,068 - 48.6%
018) $431,971,116 -- 'James Bond 20: Die Another Day' (2002) IMDB: 6.0 ▪
domestic (US) gross: $160,942,139 - 37.3%
foreign (rest) gross: $271,028,977 - 62.7%
019) $411,348,924 -- 'Batman 1' (1989) IMDB: 7.6 ▪ ▫ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $251,188,924 - 61.1%
foreign (rest) gross: $160,160,000 - 38.9%
020) $397,850,012 -- 'Mission: Impossible 3' (2006) IMDB: 6.8 ▪ ∞
domestic (US) gross: $134,029,801 - 33.7%
foreign (rest) gross: $263,820,211 - 66.3%
021) $383,531,464 -- 'Die Hard 4: Live Free Or Die Hard' (2007) IMDB: 7.4 ▪
022) $378,882,411 -- 'True Lies' (1994) IMDB: 7.2
023) $372,710,015 -- 'Batman 6: Batman Begins' (2005) IMDB: 8.3 ▪ ▫
024) $366,101,666 -- 'Die Hard 3: Die Hard With A Vengeance' (1995) IMDB: 7.3 ▪
025) $362,744,280 -- 'Ocean's Twelve' (2004) IMDB: 6.2 ▪
026) $361,832,400 -- 'James Bond 19: The World Is Not Enough' (1999) IMDB: 6.3 ▪
027) $361,023,100 -- 'Taken 2' (2012) IMDB: 6.6 ▪
028) $352,194,034 -- 'James Bond 17: GoldenEye' (1995) IMDB: 7.2 ▪
029) $352,114,312 -- 'Catch Me If You Can' (2002) IMDB: 7.9
030) $341,433,252 -- 'Wanted' (2008) IMDB: 6.7 ▪
031) $333,011,068 -- 'James Bond 18: Tomorrow Never Dies' (1997) IMDB: 6.4 ▪
032) $321,731,527 -- 'Lethal Weapon 3' (1992) IMDB: 6.6 ▪
033) $311,312,624 -- 'Ocean's Thirteen' (2007) IMDB: 6.9 ▪
034) $300,428,192 -- 'The Expandables 2' (2012) IMDB: 7.1 ▪
035) $293,503,354 -- 'Salt' (2010) IMDB: 6.4
036) $288,500,217 -- 'The Bourne Supremacy' (2004) IMDB: 7.7 ▪
037) $285,444,603 -- 'Lethal Weapon 4' (1998) IMDB: 6.5 ▪
038) $278,346,189 -- 'The Tourist' (2010) IMDB: 5.9
039) $277,448,382 -- 'xXx 1' (2002) IMDB: 5.7 ▪
040) $276,144,750 -- 'The Bourne Legacy' (2012) IMDB: 6.9 ▪
041) $274,470,394 -- 'The Expendables' (2010) IMDB: 6.5 ▪
042) $264,105,545 -- 'Charlie's Angels 1' (2000) IMDB: 5.5 ▪ ∞
043) $261,930,436 -- 'Knight And Day' (2010) IMDB: 6.3
044) $255,000,211 -- 'Cliffhanger' (1993) IMDB: 6.3
045) $259,175,788 -- 'Charlie's Angels 2: Full Throttle' (2003) IMDB: 4.7 ▪ ∞
046) $240,031,094 -- 'Die Hard 2: Die Harder' (1990) IMDB: 7.1 ▪
047) $230,685,453 -- 'Get Smart' (2007) IMDB: 6.6 ∞
048) $227,853,986 -- 'Lethal Weapon 2' (1989) IMDB: 7.1 ▪
049) $226,830,568 -- 'Taken' (2009) IMDB: 7.9 ▪
050) $217,764,291 -- 'Collateral' (2004) IMDB: 7.6
051) $215,887,717 -- 'Jack Ryan 3: Clear And Present Danger' (1994) IMDB: 6.8 ▪
052) $214,034,224 -- 'The Bourne Identity' (2002) IMDB: 7.9 ▪ ▫
053) $212,404,396 -- 'Entrapment' (1999) IMDB: 6.1
054) $207,884,401 -- 'Safe House' (2012) IMDB 6.8
055) $200,512,643 -- 'Jack Ryan 1: The Hunt For Red October' (1990) IMDB: 7.6 ▪
056) $199,006,387 -- 'Red' (2010) IMDB: 7.0
057) $193,921,372 -- 'Jack Ryan 4: The Sum Of All Fears' (2002) IMDB: 6.3 ▪
058) $191,185,897 -- 'James Bond 15: The Living Daylights' (1987) IMDB: 6.7 ▪
059) $178,051,587 -- 'Jack Ryan 2: Patriot Games' (1992) IMDB: 6.9 ▪
060) $177,238,796 -- 'The A-Team' (2010) IMDB: 6.8 ▪ ∞
061) $176,070,171 -- 'The Italian Job' (2003) IMDB: 6.9 ▪ ▫
062) $170,268,750 -- 'Starsky And Hutch' (2004) IMDB: 6.0 ∞
063) $159,330,280 -- 'The Jackal' (1997) IMDB: 6.1 ▫
064) $157,332,168 -- 'Argo' (2012) IMDB: 8.3
065) $156,491,279 -- 'This Means War' (2012) IMDB: 6.3
066) $156,167,015 -- 'James Bond 16: Licence To Kill' (1989) IMDB: 6.5 ▪
067) $143,049,560 -- 'Spy Game' (2001) IMDB: 6.9
068) $140,767,956 -- 'Die Hard 1' (1988) IMDB: 8.3 ▪
069) $130,786,397 -- 'Unknown' (2011) IMDB: 6.9
070) $126,690,726 -- 'Law Abiding Citizen' (2009) IMDB: 7.3
071) $124,305,181 -- 'The Thomas Crown Affair' (1999) IMDB: 6.7 ▫
072) $120,207,127 -- 'Lethal Weapon 1' (1987) IMDB: 7.6 ▪
073) $118,063,304 -- 'The Saint' (1997) IMDB: 6.0 ∞
074) $115,097,286 -- 'Body Of Lies' (2008) IMDB: 7.1
075) $104,391,623 -- 'The Tuxedo' (2002) IMDB: 5.0
076) $101,191,884 -- 'The Recruit' (2003) IMDB: 6.5
077) $099,965,792 -- 'Hitman' (2007) IMDB: 6.2
078) $099,480,480 -- 'The Good Sheperd' (2007) IMDB: 6.8
079) $098,159,963 -- 'Killers' (2010) IMDB: 5.2
080) $096,105,964 -- 'The Manchurian Candidate' (2004) IMDB: 6.6 ▫
081) $094,882,549 -- 'Green Zone' (2010) IMDB: 6.9
082) $089,456,761 -- 'The Long Kiss Goodnight' (1996) IMDB: 6.7
083) $085,416,905 -- 'Max Payne' (2008) IMDB: 5.7
084) $082,087,155 -- 'Abduction' (2011) IMDB: 4.7
085) $080,630,608 -- 'Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy' (2011) IMDB: 7.1 ∞
086) $071,022,693 -- 'xXx 2: State Of The Union' (2005) IMDB: 4.1 ▪
087) $070,692,101 -- 'Ronin' (1998) IMDB: 7.2
088) $067,876,281 -- 'The American' (2010) IMDB: 6.4
089) $065,977,295 -- 'Bad Company' (2002) IMDB: 5.4
090) $060,965,854 -- 'Colombiana' (2011) IMDB: 6.2
091) $060,222,298 -- 'The Ghost Writer' (2010) IMDB: 7.3
092) $060,161,391 -- 'The International' (2009) IMDB: 6.5
093) $056,308,881 -- 'Lucky Number Slevin' (2007) IMDB: 7.8
094) $052,826,594 -- 'From Paris With Love' (2010) IMDB: 6.4
095) $051,070,807 -- 'The Mechanic' (2011) IMDB: 6.5
096) $050,732,945 -- 'I Spy' (2002) IMDB: 5.3 ∞
097) $041,771,168 -- 'The Informant!' (2009) IMDB: 6.5
098) $033,372,606 -- 'Haywire' (2012) IMDB: 5.9
099) $032,191,743 -- 'Red Dawn' (2012) IMDB: 5.7
100) $028,008,462 -- 'The Tailor Of Panama' (2001) IMDB: 6.1
101) $027,664,173 -- 'Traitor' (2008) IMDB: 7.0
102) $027,038,732 -- 'Rendition' (2007) IMDB: 6.8
103) $024,188,922 -- 'Fair Game' (2010) IMDB: 6.8
104) $019,924,033 -- 'Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever' (2002) IMDB: 3.5
105) $016,933,380 -- 'The Heir Apparent: Largo Winch' (2011) IMDB: 6.4
106) $015,705,007 -- 'Enigma' (2001) IMDB: 6.4
107) $008,112,712 -- 'Spartan' (2004) IMDB: 6.7
108) $000,933,549 -- 'Michel Vaillant' (2003) IMDB: 5.0
I'd expect 1 billion worldwide as well, once China has had it's say.
1 Marvel's The Avengers BV $1,511.8
2 The Dark Knight Rises WB $1,081.0
3 Ice Age: Continental Drift Fox $874.9
4 Skyfall Sony $871.2
5 The Amazing Spider-Man Sony $752.2