SPECTRE: It grossed $880 Million Worldwide (..and 2015 was the biggest box office year so far)

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Comments

  • Posts: 11,119
    The thing is, I am happy that after "Die Another Day" James Bond stayed away from such ridiculous CGI-porn. But that doesn't mean it's fun to see it happen in a more appropriate franchise film, no :-P?

  • Posts: 11,119
    In the 26-to-28-day timeframe "Mission: Impossible 5 - Rogue Nation" is slightly lagging behind in the domestic box office gross compared to "Mission: Impossible 4 - Ghost Protocol". And that's without ticket price inflation. A small comparison:

    --> $ 178,919,924: "Mission: Impossible 2"
    --> $ 172,558,998: "Mission: Impossible 4 - Ghost Protocol"
    --> $ 160,031,069: "Mission: Impossible 5 - Rogue Nation"
    --> $ 147,461,874: "Mission: Impossible 1"
    --> $ 116,774,848: "Mission: Impossible 3"

    It could make it a bit harder for "Rogue Nation" to pass the $ 200 Million domestically. On the other hand, as "Rogue Nation" is greatly helped by being a Chinese co-production, I could see the film doing even better than "Ghost Protocol"s Chinese box office gross of $ 101 Million.

    It'll be interesting to see if "Mission: Impossible 5 - Rogue Nation" can pass the $ 750 Million globally :-).
  • bondjamesbondjames You were expecting someone else?
    edited August 2015 Posts: 23,883
    Interesting that MI-RN is co-financed by the Chinese and yet there are no Chinese actors in it. Sometimes backers do insist on folks of their nationality being in the film. I respect that they did not insist on this here.

    I also find it curious that there were rumours earlier of this film incorporating elements of the SP leaked plot in its script, and SP is a Sony (Japanese company) financed production. We all know how the Chinese and Japanese do not get on......hmm...
  • Posts: 11,119
    bondjames wrote: »
    Interesting that MI-RN is co-financed by the Chinese and yet there are no Chinese actors in it. Sometimes backers do insist on folks of their nationality being in the film. I respect that they did not insist on this here.

    I also find it curious that there were rumours earlier of this film incorporating elements of the SP leaked plot in its script, and SP is a Sony (Japanese company) financed production. We all know how the Chinese and Japanese do not get on......hmm...

    What I would like to know is, why "Rogue Nation" is not doing slightly better in the USA as compared to "Ghost Protocol"?
  • bondjamesbondjames You were expecting someone else?
    edited August 2015 Posts: 23,883
    bondjames wrote: »
    Interesting that MI-RN is co-financed by the Chinese and yet there are no Chinese actors in it. Sometimes backers do insist on folks of their nationality being in the film. I respect that they did not insist on this here.

    I also find it curious that there were rumours earlier of this film incorporating elements of the SP leaked plot in its script, and SP is a Sony (Japanese company) financed production. We all know how the Chinese and Japanese do not get on......hmm...

    What I would like to know is, why "Rogue Nation" is not doing slightly better in the USA as compared to "Ghost Protocol"?

    I found the marketing for this film curiously lacking. I'm not sure why that's the case. I somehow felt that MI-GP had more marketing hype before its release. Additionally, if I'm not mistaken, that film came out much later in the year, when there was far less competition. I think August is not as suitable a time for a film of this nature, which also probably negatively affected UNCLE. Having said that, it seems to be doing reasonably well enough for a series on its 5th film.

    I'm also a bit concerned about SP marketing to date. I saw the trailer for the first time attached to a low budget film called THE GIFT (which I really enjoyed by the way) and it seemed quite underwhelming and did not get much reaction from the audience (who admittedly was older). They were much more enthused by the new Johnny Depp film Black Mass (which looks brilliant by the way, and may get him an Oscar nom). Certainly the SP trailer does not have the same impact for me as the thumping teaser for SF, which while much shorter, really hit it out of the park with the famous Hitchcock style fall of Patrice and psych eval (Skyfall........Skyfall.......Done).
  • Posts: 11,119
    It has happened, even before the upcoming weekend figures are coming in. And even before this film premieres in China:

    "Minions" has passed the $1 Billion box office mark. It's total global box office gross now stands at: $ 1,003,880,590. It's the 4th film this year crossing the $ 1 Billion mark. And with the film yet to open in China, it could near "Skyfall"s $ 1. Billion.
  • edited September 2015 Posts: 11,119
    It seems my prediction of $750 Million globally for "Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation" seems coming true as well :-) (see my opening post on page 1 of this topic). Currently "Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation" isn't doing as well as "Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol....sans China: $511 Million globally. But now comes the big news from boxoffice.com:
    "Rogue Nation opens in its final territory China on Tuesday. The film had its premiere in Shanghai on Saturday with Tom Cruise, co-star Rebecca Ferguson and director Christopher McQuarrie in attendance. Cruise also met with Alibaba CEO Jack Ma whose Alibaba Pictures co-financed Rogue Nation. The film should be on the same level as this summer’s blockbusters Avengers: Age of Ultron and Jurassic World and early predictions are saying $200M+ is possible."

    $200 Million+ in China is a big fat twice as much as what "Ghost Protocol" did in China. If this is a sign......"SPECTRE" should equally do wonders in China. With 'only' a $150 Million gross of "SPECTRE", the 24th Bond film would still be en route towards a $1.2 Billion figure globally.
  • I just hope it isn't an unwritten rule that in order to do good at the Chinese box office you need to have your film Co-produced by the Chinese.
  • More news from EntGroup China:
    Co-stars Tom Cruise, Rebecca Ferguson, and director Christopher McQuarrie have been making the rounds in China this past week, stopping in Shanghai for the premiere of Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation and meeting Alibaba’s CEO Jack Ma, one of the richest men in China as well as the man behind Rogue Nation’s probable $200M+ run in the Middle Kingdom. Ma’s newly formed Alibaba Pictures not only invested an undisclosed sum in the fifth franchise of the popular Mission: Impossible franchise, but also partnered with Paramount Pictures to throw the full force of Alibaba’s horizontal and vertical integration behind the film through marketing, online ticketing, and merchandising.

    Taobao Movie, an app offering online ticket sales and seat selection owned and operated by Alibaba, began selling Rogue Nation tickets nearly one month ago and sold ¥1 million ($157K) worth of tickets in just one hour. Taobao Movie ran another promotion a week ago and sold 200,000 additional tickets. Alibaba also helped Paramount connect with 30 merchants and manufacturers to produce Mission: Impossible related merchandise and is using its online marketplace to sell the products. A quick look on Taobao’s Kickstarter-esque crowdfunding site shows products ranging from Mission: Impossible inspired roller blades to a wifi-enabled robotic vacuum cleaner easily reaching their funding goals.

    As of this writing, Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation has earned an estimated $18.5 million on Tuesday, making it the second biggest opening day for a 2D film behind this summer’s local hit Jianbing Man. Rogue Nation premiered on more than half of China’s 26,000 screens and accounted for 90% of Tuesday’s box office total. Despite several local films also opening this week, Rogue Nation has the highest levels of awareness, intent to purchase, and word of mouth of any new release according to EntGroup’s EFMT Index. We believe it will have a long and healthy run thanks to Alibaba Pictures’ push and significantly outgross Ghost Protocol’s $106 million. Universal’s global behemoth Minions opens up next Sunday, but we believe both movies can co-exist in the Chinese marketplace. Additional details on Minions will be provided in next week’s preview.

    It seems China is a bit spy crazy...but at the moment it's not for agent 007, but for agent Hunt :-)
  • doubleoegodoubleoego #LightWork
    Posts: 11,139
    When is China's release date for SP?
  • BondJasonBond006BondJasonBond006 on fb and ajb
    Posts: 9,020
    @Gustav_Graves

    MI5 doesn't just have to rely on China, it is still going strong in Europe.

    And here a fun fact: Terminator did a whopping 80% of its box office outside the US.
  • bondjamesbondjames You were expecting someone else?
    edited September 2015 Posts: 23,883
    I'm going to go on record here: my view is SP will not do close to the kind of box office in China at MI-RN is going to achieve there.

    SP will have to get the numbers elsewhere.

    It will better SF (how can it not?) but will not best MI-RN. It's not so much about the Chinese funding (although having Jack Ma behind you is never going to hurt) but more about the translatability of the Craig Bond films' relatively serious tone to the Chinese market.
  • bondjames wrote: »
    I'm going to go on record here: my view is SP will not do close to the kind of box office in China at MI-RN is going to achieve there.

    SP will have to get the numbers elsewhere.

    It will better SF (how can it not?) but will not best MI-RN. It's not so much about the Chinese funding (although having Jack Ma behind you is never going to hurt) but more about the translatability of the Craig Bond films' relatively serious tone to the Chinese market.

    I've been saying that all the time :-). Nothing wrong with that. The Chinese economy is falling into shambles anyway upcoming few years ;-).
  • edited September 2015 Posts: 725
    bondjames wrote: »
    I'm going to go on record here: my view is SP will not do close to the kind of box office in China at MI-RN is going to achieve there.

    SP will have to get the numbers elsewhere.

    It will better SF (how can it not?) but will not best MI-RN. It's not so much about the Chinese funding (although having Jack Ma behind you is never going to hurt) but more about the translatability of the Craig Bond films' relatively serious tone to the Chinese market.

    Totally agree. SP not only doesn't have the inside Chinese Alibaba backing, it won't have the vast screen numbers that MI is getting, it may also get a very delayed late opening date like SF did virtually assuring the film will have already been heavily boot legged. It might be lucky and do $100m or maybe double the $59m SF did, or a little more, but I will be surprised if it gets near $200m which MI should easily get. SP is going to have to get it's big BO bucks out of the US, GB and Europe like SF did. South America and the far east were not great markets for SF, despite the ignorant comments of Cleese who said they took the humor out of Bond because new Bond was making its big money in Asia where they didn't get the humor. He was dead wrong. Look at the #s: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=bond23.htm

    China was low for SF, and hopefully SP will do much better, but as noted above, I don't expect any big surprise multiplier in that market. Hope I'm wrong.
  • RC7RC7
    Posts: 10,512
    It wouldn't surprise me if we see Bond in China in B25 or 26. Despite their economy the cinema industry's growth is rampant. Their BO will surpass the US within the next 5 years.
  • BondJasonBond006BondJasonBond006 on fb and ajb
    Posts: 9,020
    2015 already is the biggest BO year in terms of revenue and we are only in September with movies like The Good Dinosaur and Star Wars yet to open.

  • edited September 2015 Posts: 11,119
    As I predicted before, also on IMDB:

    $88 Million --> Opening Weekend

    $0.304 Billion --> Domestic Gross (North-America)
    $0.059 Billion --> China Gross
    $0.010 Billion --> Mexico Gross
    $0.736 Billion --> Rest Of The World TOTAL +
    __________________________________________________________________
    $1.109 Billion --> TOTAL GLOBAL BOX OFFICE RESULT "SKYFALL"



    I'd say for "SPECTRE" the full box office breakdown will look like this (prediction off course):

    $135 Million --> Opening Weekend

    $0.365 Billion --> Domestic Gross (North-America)
    $0.170 Billion --> China Gross
    $0.045 Billion --> Mexico Gross
    $0.695 Billion --> Rest Of The World TOTAL +
    __________________________________________________________________
    $1.275 Billion --> TOTAL GLOBAL BOX OFFICE RESULT "SPECTRE"


    As you can see, I have the China gross for "SPECTRE" higher than "Skyfall", but it's still considerably lower than what pundits (Entgroup China) predict with "Mission: Impossible 5 - Rogue Nation" in China.

    Which is not surprising. "Ghost Protocol" already had a head start back in 2011 over "Skyfall".
  • BondJasonBond006BondJasonBond006 on fb and ajb
    Posts: 9,020
    The 365 million in North-America will not happen, that's short of delusional :P
    I can't say anything about China or Mexico.
    Rest of world seems about right.
  • The 365 million in North-America will not happen, that's short of delusional :P
    I can't say anything about China or Mexico.
    Rest of world seems about right.

    "Well....we'll see about that" ;-)

    Instead of the hyperbole word 'delusional' I would replace it with 'could be' :-P
  • BondJasonBond006BondJasonBond006 on fb and ajb
    Posts: 9,020
    The 365 million in North-America will not happen, that's short of delusional :P
    I can't say anything about China or Mexico.
    Rest of world seems about right.

    "Well....we'll see about that" ;-)

    Instead of the hyperbole word 'delusional' I would replace it with 'could be' :-P

    nah that's not hyperbole, that's flirting with you :)) you know I love you ;;) how's that for hyperbole :))
    Big :-* , Jason
  • The 365 million in North-America will not happen, that's short of delusional :P
    I can't say anything about China or Mexico.
    Rest of world seems about right.

    "Well....we'll see about that" ;-)

    Instead of the hyperbole word 'delusional' I would replace it with 'could be' :-P

    nah that's not hyperbole, that's flirting with you :)) you know I love you ;;) how's that for hyperbole :))
    Big :-* , Jason

    "Ooowh, you're such a flatterer Ja...son" :\">
  • Mendes4LyfeMendes4Lyfe The long road ahead
    Posts: 8,400
    I think SPECTRE doesn't have to make 1.2 billion in order to be called a success. If they can crack the billion mark I'll be very happy. People seem to think that will be easy but you have to remember that before Skyfall the Bond franchise could only dream of such BO returns. With a production budget of around 300 million it is certainly a big gamble, but I think a global boxoffice haul of 850-950 million would at least make everyone involved happy. I predict this number not based on what the film COULD make if lighting strikes twice but what it is LIKELY to gross based on what we know. We know the film will make 100 million in UK, probably in the realm of 250 million in US, 100 million in china at least, and then a handful of other major markets and smaller territories may bring in around 500 million for a total just shy of a billion. That's what we can EXPECT to happen, based on whats on paper. When we start talking about beating SF and AAOU, that really depends on the film itself, which none of us has seen yet. I'm not saying it's impossible, but at this stage it seems far more likely that SPECTRE underperforms relative to SF which just had so much going for it in terms of timing.
  • Posts: 725
    I think SPECTRE doesn't have to make 1.2 billion in order to be called a success. If they can crack the billion mark I'll be very happy. People seem to think that will be easy but you have to remember that before Skyfall the Bond franchise could only dream of such BO returns. With a production budget of around 300 million it is certainly a big gamble, but I think a global boxoffice haul of 850-950 million would at least make everyone involved happy. I predict this number not based on what the film COULD make if lighting strikes twice but what it is LIKELY to gross based on what we know. We know the film will make 100 million in UK, probably in the realm of 250 million in US, 100 million in china at least, and then a handful of other major markets and smaller territories may bring in around 500 million for a total just shy of a billion. That's what we can EXPECT to happen, based on whats on paper. When we start talking about beating SF and AAOU, that really depends on the film itself, which none of us has seen yet. I'm not saying it's impossible, but at this stage it seems far more likely that SPECTRE underperforms relative to SF which just had so much going for it in terms of timing.

    I think you're 100% right on all points. I'd only add that though I wish a great film will goose the BO take, it often doesn't. I'll be happy with a quality film that clears it's huge budget. To me, that would spell success.

  • bondjamesbondjames You were expecting someone else?
    edited September 2015 Posts: 23,883
    smitty wrote: »
    I think SPECTRE doesn't have to make 1.2 billion in order to be called a success. If they can crack the billion mark I'll be very happy. People seem to think that will be easy but you have to remember that before Skyfall the Bond franchise could only dream of such BO returns. With a production budget of around 300 million it is certainly a big gamble, but I think a global boxoffice haul of 850-950 million would at least make everyone involved happy. I predict this number not based on what the film COULD make if lighting strikes twice but what it is LIKELY to gross based on what we know. We know the film will make 100 million in UK, probably in the realm of 250 million in US, 100 million in china at least, and then a handful of other major markets and smaller territories may bring in around 500 million for a total just shy of a billion. That's what we can EXPECT to happen, based on whats on paper. When we start talking about beating SF and AAOU, that really depends on the film itself, which none of us has seen yet. I'm not saying it's impossible, but at this stage it seems far more likely that SPECTRE underperforms relative to SF which just had so much going for it in terms of timing.

    I think you're 100% right on all points. I'd only add that though I wish a great film will goose the BO take, it often doesn't. I'll be happy with a quality film that clears it's huge budget. To me, that would spell success.

    I agree. I don't think this will top SF. However, I think it needs to crack $1bn in order to be considered a success for everyone concerned ($1bn seems like the big number every major franchise is shooting for these days).

    EON/Sony will probably do what it takes to essentially buy market share somewhere and take it over that number, unless it crashes in a major market (unlikely). I'm sure they will at least want it to top SF in the US, although achieving a similar result in the UK may be unlikely, given how crazy successful SF was there.
  • edited September 2015 Posts: 725
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.
  • smitty wrote: »
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.

    I think Paramount's 'Mission: Impossible' is by far not as big in the USA as James Bond. I think it's fairer to compare James Bond with another American franchise: Warner's 'Batman'.....or better....'The Dark Knight Trilogy'. Even Universal's the 'The Fast & Furious' franchise is box-office-wise comparable as another non-sci-first, non-3D franchise.

    So a domestic gross north of $350 million for "SPECTRE" is entirely realistic. Look at "Furious 7" and "The Dark Knight Rises".

    "Skyfall", "The Dark Knight" and "Furious 7" all had something in common. They all were profiting from special events/news surrounding their premieres. Whether it was the death of Heath Ledger and Paul Walker, or the 50th anniversary and the Olympics....these events created legacy. It already helped "The Dark Knight Rises". It will help the 8th installment of "Furious", and because there's now a big blockbuster break until November 6th, it will most certainly help "SPECTRE".

    $ 1.2 Billion or more it is.
  • bondjamesbondjames You were expecting someone else?
    edited September 2015 Posts: 23,883
    smitty wrote: »
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.

    I think Paramount's 'Mission: Impossible' is by far not as big in the USA as James Bond. I think it's fairer to compare James Bond with another American franchise: Warner's 'Batman'.....or better....'The Dark Knight Trilogy'. Even Universal's the 'The Fast & Furious' franchise is box-office-wise comparable as another non-sci-first, non-3D franchise.

    So a domestic gross north of $350 million for "SPECTRE" is entirely realistic. Look at "Furious 7" and "The Dark Knight Rises".

    "Skyfall", "The Dark Knight" and "Furious 7" all had something in common. They all were profiting from special events/news surrounding their premieres. Whether it was the death of Heath Ledger and Paul Walker, or the 50th anniversary and the Olympics....these events created legacy. It already helped "The Dark Knight Rises". It will help the 8th installment of "Furious", and because there's now a big blockbuster break until November 6th, it will most certainly help "SPECTRE".

    $ 1.2 Billion or more it is.

    That's not entirely true. Bond was never a great draw in the US post early Connery, except for a few films here and there, and of course, SF. It always underperformed in the US compared to other markets.

    Batman is a different matter. It always did its biggest relative business in the US markets.

    So, SF was an exception to the rule. The question is, can it continue with SP, or was it a one-off?

    MI-RN was a fantastic film, and it's doing just ok. However, a lot of that could be the lack of star power in the cast (except for Cruise). Bond has Waltz & Bautista (fresh off GOTG), and that may be a sufficient enough draw, who knows. I agree with @smitty though, it will be difficult, based on history, for SP to beat SF in the US market, and I think SW7 and HG are going to have a major effect on it at some point. SF basically had the market to itself in 2012.
  • Mendes4LyfeMendes4Lyfe The long road ahead
    Posts: 8,400
    smitty wrote: »
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.

    I think Paramount's 'Mission: Impossible' is by far not as big in the USA as James Bond. I think it's fairer to compare James Bond with another American franchise: Warner's 'Batman'.....or better....'The Dark Knight Trilogy'. Even Universal's the 'The Fast & Furious' franchise is box-office-wise comparable as another non-sci-first, non-3D franchise.

    So a domestic gross north of $350 million for "SPECTRE" is entirely realistic. Look at "Furious 7" and "The Dark Knight Rises".

    "Skyfall", "The Dark Knight" and "Furious 7" all had something in common. They all were profiting from special events/news surrounding their premieres. Whether it was the death of Heath Ledger and Paul Walker, or the 50th anniversary and the Olympics....these events created legacy. It already helped "The Dark Knight Rises". It will help the 8th installment of "Furious", and because there's now a big blockbuster break until November 6th, it will most certainly help "SPECTRE".

    $ 1.2 Billion or more it is.

    I'm sorry but It'll be pretty good going if SPECTRE can make 250 million domestic, I doubt north of 350 million is on the cards. I think you're looking at a best case scenario, hardly the right approach to take with BO predictions. Just my opinion.
  • smitty wrote: »
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.

    I think Paramount's 'Mission: Impossible' is by far not as big in the USA as James Bond. I think it's fairer to compare James Bond with another American franchise: Warner's 'Batman'.....or better....'The Dark Knight Trilogy'. Even Universal's the 'The Fast & Furious' franchise is box-office-wise comparable as another non-sci-first, non-3D franchise.

    So a domestic gross north of $350 million for "SPECTRE" is entirely realistic. Look at "Furious 7" and "The Dark Knight Rises".

    "Skyfall", "The Dark Knight" and "Furious 7" all had something in common. They all were profiting from special events/news surrounding their premieres. Whether it was the death of Heath Ledger and Paul Walker, or the 50th anniversary and the Olympics....these events created legacy. It already helped "The Dark Knight Rises". It will help the 8th installment of "Furious", and because there's now a big blockbuster break until November 6th, it will most certainly help "SPECTRE".

    $ 1.2 Billion or more it is.

    I'm sorry but It'll be pretty good going if SPECTRE can make 250 million domestic, I doubt north of 350 million is on the cards. I think you're looking at a best case scenario, hardly the right approach to take with BO predictions. Just my opinion.

    Good box-office predictors not only look at past box-office figures. They also look at trends that go with those past box-office figures. The Bond franchise has severely upscaled itself in terms of production size, quality and money during the Craig era.

    I'm extensively reading comments on social media and movie websites (German, Dutch, American, here in Spain), and again a lot of people who usually don't go to a Bond film, will see the upcoming film. Simply because it has:

    --> Dave Bautista (wrestling fans, Marvel-fans, lots of latinos/african-americans too)
    --> Christoph Waltz (Tarantino fans "Aaah! Waltz is in that film? Then I'll give it a try!")
    --> Sam Mendes (draws in older/female audiences who previously loved his drama films)

    This sets the upcoming Bond film, like "Skyfall", apart from all pre-Craig era produced Bond films.

    Also, I find the chance very slim that "SPECTRE" will be reviewed as lackluster as "Quantum Of Solace". It will most likely get similar reviews as "Skyfall" and "Casino Royale".
  • Mendes4LyfeMendes4Lyfe The long road ahead
    Posts: 8,400
    smitty wrote: »
    A $300m BO in the US is a tough hurtle. Even the new MI with great reviews may not even hit $200m. If SP hits even near $300, it will be a good sign for the rest of the major Bond markets.

    I think Paramount's 'Mission: Impossible' is by far not as big in the USA as James Bond. I think it's fairer to compare James Bond with another American franchise: Warner's 'Batman'.....or better....'The Dark Knight Trilogy'. Even Universal's the 'The Fast & Furious' franchise is box-office-wise comparable as another non-sci-first, non-3D franchise.

    So a domestic gross north of $350 million for "SPECTRE" is entirely realistic. Look at "Furious 7" and "The Dark Knight Rises".

    "Skyfall", "The Dark Knight" and "Furious 7" all had something in common. They all were profiting from special events/news surrounding their premieres. Whether it was the death of Heath Ledger and Paul Walker, or the 50th anniversary and the Olympics....these events created legacy. It already helped "The Dark Knight Rises". It will help the 8th installment of "Furious", and because there's now a big blockbuster break until November 6th, it will most certainly help "SPECTRE".

    $ 1.2 Billion or more it is.

    I'm sorry but It'll be pretty good going if SPECTRE can make 250 million domestic, I doubt north of 350 million is on the cards. I think you're looking at a best case scenario, hardly the right approach to take with BO predictions. Just my opinion.

    Good box-office predictors not only look at past box-office figures. They also look at trends that go with those past box-office figures. The Bond franchise has severely upscaled itself in terms of production size, quality and money during the Craig era.

    I'm extensively reading comments on social media and movie websites (German, Dutch, American, here in Spain), and again a lot of people who usually don't go to a Bond film, will see the upcoming film. Simply because it has:

    --> Dave Bautista (wrestling fans, Marvel-fans, lots of latinos/african-americans too)
    --> Christoph Waltz (Tarantino fans "Aaah! Waltz is in that film? Then I'll give it a try!")
    --> Sam Mendes (draws in older/female audiences who previously loved his drama films)

    This sets the upcoming Bond film, like "Skyfall", apart from all pre-Craig era produced Bond films.

    Also, I find the chance very slim that "SPECTRE" will be reviewed as lackluster as "Quantum Of Solace". It will most likely get similar reviews as "Skyfall" and "Casino Royale".

    Well, I think you are right in saying SPECTRE will appeal to female audiences to a greater extent than before. We have three central female performances ranging in ages, roles etc.
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