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Welcome back @bondjames ...not that you were gone. Sorry I missed your response... never said thank you.
Anyway I'm unsure yet how SP will perform. I'll read your post linked above and watch and see.
I am not expecting 1 billion ...expecting about 70% of SF's gross.
As usual Japan is the last market for the film to play in.........but its not such a long wait to the Japanese opening this time, which i believe is Dec 4th.
Even China, is opening only a week after the opening in North America.........so there are going to be some really big bucks coming Bond's way in November!
http://www.thewrap.com/spectre-5-reasons-daniel-craig-shake-not-stir-box-office-skyfall/
Let's make that $1.2 Billion figure reality! :-D
It's a decent article other than the massive Waltz spoiler. Can't see why anyone would choose to do that.
They also say it's DC's third outing as Bond even though they reference the three previous films!
This is all guess work I don't analyse figures or demographics just a hunch.
Box office works partially like that. But not entirely. Reviews do have an influence on the box office success. But "Furious 7", "Avengers: Age of Ultron", "Jurassic World" and "Minions" (all $1 Billion Dollar movies) were equally rated "good, but not great", "fine, but not excellent".
To annoy me I think.
Some might say translation, but then again it has to be translated into a whole load of other languages as well doesn't it...
My best total guess is that it is just about timing - other releases, promotions etc.
Frustrating!
:-)
The article was free last night but is now showing as subscription only.
Perhaps it gives MGM better capital injections this way, perhaps MGM gets more self-sustainable again, at least financially. Perhaps MGM wants to do it alone again :-)?
However, here's something similar from the Hollywood Reporter:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/how-sony-could-lose-james-833474
Yes, I think MGM is in the bargaining seat on this one, but I'm not sure I like that. It should really be EON calling the shots, but one wonders if they really are on the business side (as opposed to the creative side).
One thing that always bothers me is that when Swaltzman left he sold his half not to Broccoli but to UA (now MGM). MGM is about as stable as a bull on a pogo stick.
About as stable as SONY then ;)
US three day opening: 100 million dollars.
And overall worldwide: over a billion. Let's say 1.4 billion!
This is not the "not bothered' thread. :D
(just kidding)
Well, guess it would be a fair point even it you weren't kidding...
But then again the title of the thread isn't "Let's hope SP does 1.2 Billion Dollars Worldwide? (..and will 2015 be biggest movie year ever?") appreciation thread"
:D
I wasn't being totally serious, I do sort of care about how well the Bond films do, but in the same sort of way I cared about what the name of Will & Kate's second tot was going to be...
http://www.volkskrant.nl/film/spectre-best-bezochte-film-op-openingsdag-ooit~a4174515/
Google translated:
http://variety.com/2015/film/box-office/spectre-box-office-us-debut-james-bond-1201630492/
Yes.............its interesting to read that Sony say they would be happy with an opening gross of $60 mil, but personally i don't believe it will be around that mark, i mean thats lower than even QOS back in 2008, and ticket prices were lower then.
Mind you the film is going up against the Peanuts movies, so i think studio heads at Sony are thinking that maybe on opening weekend, many parents may not go to see Spectre for themselves, but will take their kids to see the Peanuts movie instead..........then at a later date the parents may go and see Spectre!
My kids want to see SP lol. Oldest 11yo... but then they thought SF was funny with everyone chasing that grandma.
By the way, QoS adjusted opening weekend is over 75 million and SP is not going to be under these numbers. .
http://deadline.com/2015/10/daniel-craig-james-bond-sony-warner-bros-mgm-daniel-craig-1201528241/
I have been checking some of the sources of that article, including the quotes in there from an official of boxoffice.com. I really think they still base this prediction on earlier long-range forecasts (four/three weeks ago).
A theater count of 3,500?? Don't make me laugh. Looking at the tremendous box office success, and even some underestimation from Sony's side regarding the theater count back then -also 3,500- you should at least expect a fierce increase towards 4,000 theaters.
Let's see what happens next week, but I think an opening weekend of $ 80 Million is a very very very soft prediction. I do understand Sony though ;-). Obviously they are even more careful now with their ≈$65 Million, so that a 'sudden' $100 Million opening weekend would be another 'big story'.