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I notice the chap Scott Mendelson, who wrote the Forbes review, saying SP was worst Bond film in 30 years, has been basically back tracking with his thoughts on the film and franchise, with his more recent articles on the subject!
International total is an est $419 mil.
I'm starting to think 1b is more likely and it could even make a run at SF
I am kinda bummed out it didn't get to 650m (it needs that much to break even) in the 2nd week, but it will definitely get to it next week.
Where else is Spectre supposed to open ? Or is it already shown worldwide ?
Film yet to open in Japan on 4th Dec.............also due to tragic events in France.......film is on hold there, until cinemas re-open.
At this point a total of $900 mil seems a reasonable guess for SP worldwide!
SP is still going very strongly in the UK with a 3rd weekend total of £8.6 mil, which is only a little bit less than SF's 3rd weekend.
SP is now the 4th highest grossing film in the UK (excluding inflation adjustments), and is only 0.6 mil behind 3rd place Titanic........Avatar's total should be reached in the not too distant future, then Bond will occupy the 2 top places on UK all-time film chart.
SF's total may be a bit too far ahead......but with weeks still ahead for SP playing at UK cinemas, its gonna get pretty close.
Anyway, the people who said SP would be all done by £80 mil...........were way wrong! :)
That's because his deliberate attention-seeking negativity was something many people didn't give a **** about and it only demonstrated failure on his part and now a change in tune to be "in" with the masses is being employed as people are flocking to see this movie regardless and is making very good money.
How much do movies usually do in Japan ?
If it passes 900m it will be great.
If I had to bet I'll say it will make 850m.
I guess next weekend will tell a lot for Spectre.With Hunger games making its worldwide debut, if Spctre doesn't have a huge drop we can be hopeful.
SF = $32.5 mil
QOS = $21.6 mil
CR = $18.9 mil
http://deadline.com/2015/11/spectre-prem-ratan-dhan-payo-martian-peanuts-paris-attacks-international-box-office-results-1201624317/
If this is the case, and SPECTRE can reach 200 million in the US, then it will just about stagger to 1 billion worldwide. Besides the US, I can't see anywhere where SP is pacing far behind SF.
The key to matching SF is the rate of drop off. It appears to have opened much stronger in most markets outside the US, but is also dropping off faster (% wise) which is what we expected. Next week is the key with the heavy hitter releases coming out.
"SPECTRE":
--> 26.10.2015, Monday: UK premiere (countrywide)
--> 06.11.2015, Friday: USA premiere
--> 15.11.2015, Sunday: 20 days in cinema's across the globe, 9 days in cinema's across the USA/Canada
Box office results "SPECTRE" on 25.11.2012:
--> $130.7 Million: Domestic Box Office (USA/Canada)
--> $413.1 Million: Foreign Box Office
--> $543,8 Million: Global Box Office (after 20 days in release, 9 days in the USA/Canada....11 days after UK release)
"SKYFALL":
--> 26.10.2012, Friday: UK premiere (countrywide)
--> 09.11.2012, Friday: USA premiere
--> 25.11.2012, Sunday: 30 days in cinema's across the globe, 16 days in cinema's across the USA/Canada
http://www.businessinsider.com/skyfall-crosses-200-million-in-the-us-2012-11
Box office results "SKYFALL" on 25.11.2012:
--> $214.3 Million: Domestic Box Office (USA/Canada)
--> $568.4 Million: Foreign Box Office
--> $782.7 Million: Global Box Office (after 30 days in release, 16 days in the USA/Canada....14 days after UK release)
Let's see where "SPECTRE" stands at the end of next weekend / after 10 days from now. If it can bank another $20 Million during next, 3rd weekend, and if it can gross a similar amount as "The Night Before" (opens Friday) then it's looking good for "SPECTRE"s holdover. And it doesn't matter much if it's 2nd behind "Hunger Games" or 3rd behind "Hunger Games" and "The Night Before".
Anyway.....in 10 days time, with the film on practically full blown world-wide release the figures for SP should be pretty close to SF's by then..........IMO.
Let's see....I'm sarting to think that it hassss a chance now of breaking the $1 Billion. But as @BondJames said...next week will be important. Let's see how it competes with that 4th "Hunger Games"-film (By the way, I saw the 3rd film this weekend....by jolly I was throwing up over this over-acting from Jennifer Lawrence. As a standalone film it was...eh...bad...to put it mildly). Let's see if it has legs, if it has strong holdover. But again, it has now proven.
I'm not so convinced "Hunger Games 4" will do as well as "SPECTRE" in China. "Hunger Games 3" was quite a flop there ($36 Million total gross). And it's a movie you only want to see if you saw the previous film.
$900 Million seems more and more a certainty.
As i have said before, i've never seen these films, never ever met anyone who has been to watch these films, and i would probably hate someone if they ever talked to me about these films. :)
That's amazing! Bit of a shame it won't reach to three due to 'Mockingjay Part 2.'
You also linked to this article. And it really seems that the USA, so far...so far, is the only country where a major 'bump' has appeared as compared to SF. Deadline mentions that holdover for "SPECTRE" has been very strong for the oversees markets after three weeks. In fact, in many countries "SPECTRE" is currently outperforming "Skyfall" with comfortable numbers (especially newer markets)
http://deadline.com/2015/11/spectre-prem-ratan-dhan-payo-martian-peanuts-paris-attacks-international-box-office-results-1201624317/ :
Damn, that frikkin' smaller of smallest country Denmark is going to beat MY small country Netherlands! Having just read this article, I think the $1 Billion mark needs to be looked upon again...
A new actor at this point is simply too big of a risk. Craig's Bond is now a license to print money. They ain't givin' that up yet. :D
So these things attributed to the strong holdover:
--> Goodwill from the brand "Bond", especially after what "Skyfall" did
--> Better vibe/reviews from audiences than critics (Cinemascore "A-")
--> A lack of stiff competition in this 2nd week.
I said it before and I will repeat it again and again.
The negative effect that SP is facing from a stronger USD is much more significant than the positive effect from inflation. The whole EUR region, the Pound as well as some other relevant currencies (Japan, CHN) have all developed quite bad compared to SF time.
Which means: Same number of tickets does NOT mean same USD box office.
It would be even more impressive if you take this into consideration if SP comes close to the 1bn
But then...this should count for all movies that came out this year. And so far.....it doesn't seem to be a big influence at all. On the contrary, 2015 is still pacing towards the most (insane) succesful box office year for cinema's ever. Just look to movies like "Furious 7", "Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation", "Inside Out", "Avengers 2: Age of Ultron", "Jurassic World" and "Minions".