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If anything, I'd like to think that's more than a given if it starts production then.
As it stands, I'm actually anticipating 2014 much more. Expendables 3, the Planet Of The Apes sequel, Chris Nolans next film, and of course Mad Max 4.
Way way too early to predict that Star Wars and all the superhero movies are going to do a TOP 3. There are signs that audiences become a bit 'superhero tired'. Marvel this, DC Comics that. Here's a list......and don't get confused:
DC COMICS:
--> Batman / The Dark Knight (Nolan turned this into the most lucrative DC Comic. In 2015 vs. Superman)
--> Superman / Man Of Steel (vs. Batman in 2015. WB anticipated a 1 Billion Dollar hit again. Instead, the worldwide gross is 'only' $647,256,503, which is a slight disappointment)
--> Justice League (2016)
--> Jonah Hex (complete financial flop)
--> Catwoman (another failure)
--> Watchmen
--> The Green Lantern (with a production budget of $200 Million and a worldwide gross of $219,851,172: A flop)
--> The Losers (a complete financial flop)
MARVEL COMICS:
--> The Hulk (critically? failures. both installments didn't even reach the $300 million worldwide)
--> Blade
--> The Fantastic Four (another one coming in 2015)
--> Spiderman
--> Captain America (new one 2013)
--> Thor (new one in 2013)
--> Iron Man (perhaps most lucrative franchise of the Marvel series)
--> The Avengers (Thor, Iron Man, The Hulk, Captain America, 2015)
--> Guardians Of The Galaxy (2014)
--> The Ant Man (first one in 2015)
--> X-Men (new one premiered one week ago, but so far not a very big success. Another one coming in 2014)
So it's quite obvious. The superheroes are all over the place and there's no clear structure in every superhero-franchise. Whereas my advice would be to focus on casting a new Batman to follow-up 'The Dark Knight Rises', now with Robin, DC Comics falls in the 'trap' of combining Superman and Batman on screen. It's a pity, because Warner could have turned Batman into a stiff competitor for James Bond.
Same with 'Iron Man'. I just love it. Perhaps because Iron Man reminds me of the charm and wittyness of the Roger Moore Bond's. And Robert Downey Jr. is just sheer fun. Instead, Disney tends to focus on combining all the superheroes on screen. And Disney kind of forgets here that it actually was Iron Man who carried the first Avenger-movie.
So the signs are there. The new 'X-Men' movie stands at a slightly dissappointing $256,341,878 worldwide after 11 days. 'Man Of Steel' was standing at around $450 Million worldwide after 11 days. In comparison, 'Skyfall' stood at $669 Million worldwide after 11 days.
In comparison, a non-superhero, non-3D franchise like 'Fast & Furious' is doing way way better. 'Fast & Furious 6' is the 2nd most succesfull movie after the 1.2 Billion Dollars from 'Iron Man 3': Currently standing worldwide at a staggering $771,152,190. And as you know with inflation correction 'Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol' ended its run with $694,713,380....a mark 'Man Of Steel' won't catch anymore.
CONCLUSION: I would be careful in predicting all the superhero movies at the top in 2015. Slowly, the audiences are getting a bit tired of it all. And Warner and Disney sadly do not wish to stabilize one of their most succesful franchises: 'Batman' and 'Iron Man' (I love 'Iron Man 1', 'Batman Begins' and 'The Dark Knight').
In the meanwhile other 'better-to-compare' competition comes from 'Fast & Furious' and 'Mission: Impossible'. You completely underestimate those.
And one last point almost no one takes into account. Once a movie get mixed or bad reviews it certainly has an influence on its financial success. That's the reason why 'X-Men: The Wolverine' and 'Man Of Steel' are lagging behind in the movie companies expectations and predictions.
So taking into account that the critical reviews for 'Bond 24' will be nearly as good as those from 'Casino Royale' and 'Skyfall', I predict that the Bond franchise is the only rock-solid franchise amidst a field of so many superhero incarnations. Recently upgraded to very big levels and a 2nd time director's chair for Sam Mendes could see 'Bond 24' cashing another $950 Million to perhaps $1.3 Billion worldwide. A figure that IMO seems more realistic. Especially now the gossip about the 'return of Blofeld' is starting.
I don't know. It's a Zack Snyder movie. Personally.....for me it gets a bit tired. I am very happy if Snyder can make 'Batman vs. Superman' a very Dark Knight-esque, Nolan-esque movie. The fact as, just looking to the plain characters, I find Batman way more compelling and interesting than Superman. Simply because Batman is less sci-fi, more Bond-esque, more realistic. That's what made the Dark Knight trilogy big. Superman however.....he's just a plain dull woman magnet....nothing more.
Snyder does appear to carry alot of negative baggage, personally think Watchmen was very good and also loved Man of steel. Life long fan of both characters Batman and Superman and its difficult to pin point a definitive version of either because of there longevity. They have constantly evolved, Batman at this point more successfully in cinema. Think you have to disregard Batman in previous movies leading up to his return in Batman vs Superman, it has been stated that Supermans emergence is the catalyst for other DC Characters to wear masks so to speak.
1930s, 1960s and 1970s would be my choice for the greatest decades.
The 30s saw the talkies take off with so many great and creative writers, directors, stars etc.
In the 60s through 70s all those terrific maverick directors came along - Altman, Coppola, Speilberg, Scorcese etc. Same thing in Europe. The rot set in with Star Wars. No disrespect to SW - a fine film - but it led the way for the blockbuster age. Maybe necessary at the time when TV and video was killing the cinemas and multiplexes were not the norm. BUT, the writing was on the wall as 007 may say, and now look at us. Creativity is more or less dead.
Well, in the 00s we had DAD, but also CR, the LOTR trilogy, a number of others.
http://www.cracked.com/quick-fixes/4-reasons-2015-could-be-movie-industrys-worst-year-ever/
I'd say 2015 is the make-or-break year for Spielberg's prediction about a change in the movie industry. If Batman and Superman and The Avengers 2 and Star Wars Episode VII and (perish the thought!) Bond 24 fail, or at least a few of them do, then the sea change will happen. If, however, they all churn out hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars, the movie industry will be chugging along as usual for at least the next few years.
Absolutely. Personally I think that Episode VII is going to be a monster if the original actors do indeed return. Bond will also do quite well but perhaps not Skyfall numbers.
I tend to agree especially with the Superman sequel. Out of all of them it's that has the most question marks going in.
Very interesting article. Kind of scary to see that big franchise might not be guarantee of success.
I can see the 'Batman/Superman' film not doing too wonderfully, but you don't think 'The Avengers' is going to do as well as hoped?
No, no Sam. The whole decade was terrible ;-)
Must admit I'm no expert of the last 10 years, only ever getting this impression of blockbuster cinema taking over. But sometimes I see a smallish film like The Man Who Wasn't There which has a performance by Billy Bob Thornton that is simply astonishing, and I realise that quality stuff is out there. And not just the Coen brothers.
I'm sometimes too guilty of generalisation.
I think it's possible it matches the first but I get the feeling, everyone expects it to do far more business than that.
That's true. If Marvel is attached somehow, I think fans just get a big head and think it's guaranteed to make $1 billion and exceed all expectations, when really, a portion of these films disappoint. Look at how many people were up in arms and loathed 'Iron Man 3.'
I forgot The Raid 2, Seth MacFarlane's new movie and The Secret Service.
Yeah, 2014 is looking miles better than 2015 imo.