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Oscar Predictions 2016
It's that time of the year again, and it's time to place your bets as to who will win this year. So, as usual, here are the nominees for Best Song, one of them is very familiar to us Bond fans.
Let's begin with "Earn It", from "50 Shades of Grey" :
Like the 60s vibe from this song. Don't know about the movie, but the song seems to be a contender.
Now, here's "Manta Ray", from Racing Extinction" :
Doesn't do a thing for me, but given the subject of the movie, the Academy might do the same thing they did for "An Inconvenient Truth"
From the movie "Youth", here's "Simple Song # 3" :
I can imagine Katherine Jenkins doing it. But I don't think it will win.
Now, Lady Gaga with "Till it Happens to You", from "The Hunting Ground" :
Difficult subject, and a very good song. I think this song will win this year. At least, it deserves to win.
And last, "Writing's on the Wall", from "Spectre" :
Sorry, but even as a Bond fan, I don't think Sam Smyth will win. Better luck next time.
Let's begin with "Earn It", from "50 Shades of Grey" :
Like the 60s vibe from this song. Don't know about the movie, but the song seems to be a contender.
Now, here's "Manta Ray", from Racing Extinction" :
Doesn't do a thing for me, but given the subject of the movie, the Academy might do the same thing they did for "An Inconvenient Truth"
From the movie "Youth", here's "Simple Song # 3" :
I can imagine Katherine Jenkins doing it. But I don't think it will win.
Now, Lady Gaga with "Till it Happens to You", from "The Hunting Ground" :
Difficult subject, and a very good song. I think this song will win this year. At least, it deserves to win.
And last, "Writing's on the Wall", from "Spectre" :
Sorry, but even as a Bond fan, I don't think Sam Smyth will win. Better luck next time.
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Comments
I still think DAD should have been best film of 2002.
Wait, who's typing this? Not me! Hands... let go off the keyboard!
(an actual bet I put very little money on just to make the oscars entertaining)
Best Movie
Best Actress
Best Animated
Best Visual Effects
Best supporting actor
Best Actor
Best picture: Spotlight
Best leading actor: Leonardo Di Caprio
Best leading actress: Brie Larson
Best supporting actor: Sylvester Stallone
Best supporting actress: Alicia Vikander
Best director: Alejandro González Iñárritu
Best original screenplay: Spotlight
Best adapted screenplay: Room
Best animated feature: Inside Out
Best foreign picture: Saul Fia
Best cinematography: The Revenant
Best film editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Production design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Costume design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best makeup: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best original score: Ennio Morricone
Best original song: Sam Smith, Spectre
Best Sound mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best sound editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best visual effects: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best documentary: Amy
Best documentary short: Last Day of Freedom
Best animated short: World of Tomorrow
Best live action short: Day One
It certainly should, but who the hell knows with AMPAS. It is likely to either split most of the techs with The Revenant, or The Revenant sweeps, which would be a pity. Theoretically MMFR could sweep most of the techs as well, but I suppose that's less likely. I'd be happy to see Miller take Director, but I guess it's unlikely, especially with AGI taking DGA. Then again, it's not the same group of people voting, nor quite the same group of directors being voted, and there very well might be a BP/director split, as well, so it's a (maybe minor) possibility.
Obviously it can't sweep all the big ones since it isn't nominated for all the big ones (no actress or screenplay noms), but other than that, yeah... There are several stats and stuff against TR sweep, but it's a possibility. It won DGA, so yeah... If AGI gets Director it would be I think only the 2nd time ever that they award the same director consecutively - but they do love AGI; every single movie of his has gotten important nominations. He (personally) took home 3 statuettes last year (for producing, directing and writing), would they give him a couple more now? Maybe. Highly unusual for sure, but possible. It would be the first time ever that a movie by the same director wins BP on consecutive years, but there's the first time for everything, eh? Winning BP without a screenplay nom is rare, but has been done before - I think Titanic was the previous one that did that, and there are a couple of others earlier. It didn't get a WGA nod, either. It didn't win ACE, but that's not a major blip. More importantly, though, it wasn't even nominated for SAG ensemble, and even more curiously, it lost PGA, which uses the same preferential ballot that the AMPAS does for BP. It kinda over-performed on nominations (getting nominations that weren't even expected), so it clearly has wide support. In other words, while it's nowhere near the front runner that Birdman was last year, it could still sweep. Or not.
On further consideration... Maybe 4 or 5 of them? I think that would be realistic. It should be the front runner in Make-Up and Hairstyling, (though TR is a possibility), plus Production design, possibly both sound categories, maybe Visual effects (or the VES winner TFA if they wanna give it something, or TR if it sweeps the techs). If TBS wins BP then it'll likely take editing, but if it doesn't then MMFR has a good chance.
I thought maybe someone else might like the posters BAFTA has for their BP nominees... I'm posting them here, since there's no better place, I think, and it's kinda related, anyway (partly same people voting)...
So, in alphabetical order:
The Big Short one really worked for me. There's so much there. As soon as I saw the three A's I was thinking of triple-A tranches, etc. The Carol is least interesting for me. The Revenant one naturally looks the best. :P The choice of colours obviously isn't accidental, either.
---
And the Winnie the Pooh posters for some Oscar nominated films:
http://huffingtonpost.com/entry/winnie-the-pooh-oscar-movies_us_56abd978e4b077d4fe8e2ab0
WIN WIN WIN WIN WIN WIN
I couldn't be more happy!!
SAM SMITH WRITINGS ON THE WALL
WIN
Bloody great! Fantastic! Marvelous!
Sam Smith? The Bond fan in me says yes but does the song really deserve it? Ah well. Kudos!
Agreed. "Writing on the Wall" was not the best nominated song (Lady Gaga's was), and not even the best nominated Bond Song ("The Look of Love" was), and not even the best Bond song ever ("We Have All the Time in the World" was). YMMV, of course.
But then, the night wasn't a disaster otherwise, either. :) Happy for the MMFR wins. AGI was so visibly pissed off X( after one of them that I was quite surprised... and wished even more that he wouldn't win another Oscar. Unfortunately he did, though. But at least not two of them, ha! I wish they had given BD to Miller, though. Or any of the others for that matter rather than AGI. But oh well... not like that result was a surprise. Very happy for Rylance - I actually applauded at that.
No more "give poor Leo an Oscar" whining that's been going on for years, phew. I thought Hardy was better in the movie than he was, and he has done more interesting acting work himself in other movies, but still... nice he got it. He seemed to really want it, too, since he bothered to campaign so much, so at least that's over and done with. I've always liked him, and I'd have been properly happy for him, if he hadn't been practically declared winner before anyone had even seen the movie, and if his Oscar hadn't been the biggest thing about the whole awards season. As it was, it was kinda meh. I've had it up to my eyeballs about how this was "Leo's year" and how difficult the movie was to make. Geez. 8-| But yeah, I'm glad DiCaprio got the Oscar, and it's now out of the way.
BP was a 3 horse race, and I hoped for TBS, but was still pleased that Spotlight got it rather than The Revenant. And also that MMFR took most of the techs, too. Nice. (The Revevant sweep would have been terrible.) Amazed Ex Machina got VFX. :-O
I don't care for Sam Smith's song, and can't pretend to be thrilled for its win, either. I didn't care much about that whole category. The Academy not even inviting 2 of the nominees to perform was sort of disgusting - yet there was plenty of time for Chris Rock... far too much time... His repetitive stuff got old very quickly, and by the end I just wanted to slap him over the head. At least the nice thing with the silly girl scout cookie thing though was getting to see Matt Damon and Christian Bale share cookies across the aisle. :P
And... oh yes; Brie Larson made a good impression, both in the auditorium and backstage.