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We will see, we will see ;-). I would laugh if it would be the average of your $207 million and my $265 million = $236 million ;). By the way, with my prediction $265 million for the US I was already incorporating some US backlash, as the franchise lost some popularity compared to 'The Dark Knight' and 'Jason Bourne'.
But make no mistake: 'The Dark Knight' is finished. I only can see a 'Robin' movie happening in the long term. And 'The Bourne Legacy'? Well, we haven't talked about that one yet no? Apparently, the Bourne franchise can't cope with Matt Damon's loss ATM. Bit like Sean's loss for OHMSS.
In that environment, the audience that went to see TDK and Jason Bourne, can now find solace in Agent James Bond 007.
Moreover, a four year -or at least a 3+ year- absence can have a true healing effect. One should take that into account as well:
--> $ 97,600,000 - 17th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'The Man With The Golden Gun'
--> $185,400,000 - 05th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'The Spy Who Loved Me' (From TMWTG to TSWLM a 3 year gap)
--> $156,167,015 - 22nd succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'Licence To Kill'
--> $352,194,034 - 12th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'GoldenEye' (From LTK to GE a 6 year gap)
--> $361,832,400 - 14th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'The World Is Not Enough'
--> $431,971,116 - 11th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'Die Another Day' (From TWINE to DAD a 3 year gap)
--> $431,971,116 - 11th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'Die Another Day'
--> $594,239,066 - 06th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'Casino Royale' (From DAD to CR a 4 year gap)
--> $586,090,727 - 09th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'Quantum Of Solace'
--> $? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? - ? ?th succesful Bond Film with inflation adjustment - 'SkyFall' (From QOS to SF a 4 year gap)
Here's a nice graph for you guys:
I think 'SkyFall' will certainly catch up with 'Live And Let Die' on this graph, officially kicking in a new 'renaissance era' of Bond.
That would be a huge letdown financially. For me that is. And especially when taking into account inflation correction.
3. Skyfall (Nov. 9)
The latest James Bond movie arrives four years after Quantum of Solace set a new franchise record ($168.4 million) while bumming tons of fans out with its relentless, forgettable action and meandering, convoluted story. Historically, though, the reception for the last entry hasn't really affected the performance of the next one: Die Another Day is widely reviled, but that didn't stop Casino Royale from setting a new record in 2006. With killer previews, an Adele theme song that's getting tons of radio play, and some of the best reviews in the franchise's history, expect a new high mark to be set by Skyfall. Forecast: $185 million
I think/hope it will pass 200 mil ...
Inflation adjusted, 185 million would be quite a disappointment for me. Especially after a four year hiatus. I think I feel a bit more of a 'Moonraker' vibe as well, money-wise. That movie followed some trends, especially Star Wars. And it worked. The audiences in the US loved it.
By the way, predictions are still predictions. And Boxofficemojo's $185 million is way out of line, wayyy too careful and unrealistic.
Good news in the UK breaks opening week record! hopefully it does not completely drop as huge opening weeks can lead to burning of demand.
It will be worth the wait! Its great to hear shows selling out around the world!
Well, I managed to get two tickets for me and my friend. But it's more to the front. Grrr...
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=bond23.htm
That's the secret of a true box office hit :-). Thunderball-proportions are really starting to become visible now.
It's all in the box office thread.
As of today, the total stands at $1,037,291,060.32.
That's not going to happen for sure Samuel001. Those amounts are more logical for fantasy-franchises. Nah, I think it'll earn less in the USA: around $265 million, IMAX figures included.
I think we all are closely following the TOP 5 of inflation adjusted box office grosses of Bond films:
1. $1,037,291,060.32 - Thunderball
2. $ 932,346,267.74 - Goldfinger
3. $ 843,280,463.96 - Live And Let Die
4. $ 773,204,227.54 - You Only Live Twice
5. $ 707,967,950.50 - The Spy Who Loved Me
'Skyfall' Beating 'Thunderball' and 'Goldfinger'? Nah, I am pretty certain not. But beating TSWLM, YOLT and LALD, ending up as 3rd best inflation corrected Bond film? That's possible.
Hi Gustav! $265 million is pretty much "near $300 million. I am not following how you can predict $265 million and say "for sure" it is not going to be near $300 million. Please forgive me if I misunderstand.
It's a shame because Twilight is a pile of sh*t.