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Comments
Spidey has a chance to outgross F9.
$600 million would be absolutely impressive, a SF level of success. $700 million it’s out of Bond’s reach. Grossing $500 million would still be a success, since given the current situation with the business down a 40/50% a $500 million theatrical gross would’ve meant something like 1B pre COVID and that was more or less the prediction back then. NTTD has always been projected to stand in between SP and SF level of success. Ah, and F9 was always projected to gross more than Bond.
Yeah, but it's also made up. The writers seem to have no special knowledge of how these films are financed or to what degree product placement and other deals factor in. Applying their calculations to QoS and SP would suggest those films lost money, only to be followed up by even more expensive movies, which would make Barbara and Michael formidably stupid and incompetent people, which I suspect is not the case.
Or on this new article, their random "calculation" involves averaging out SF and SP grosses (for some reason) and, among other random things, multiplying that by the total difference in total annual box office (for some reason). The number of seats that can be sold is somehow factored in too. But it should be obvious that a screening with restricted capacity is more likely to sell out than a film with maximum capacity. But they just multiply the numbers for no reason.
Beyond that, the 25% capacity restriction they give for Germany (where I live) is not accurate, and they say Australia "cannot be projected" but then do project it to be zero dollars.
And just fundamentally, they're comparing apples and screwdrivers. There is simply not enough data to model how a movie like NTTD will perform in the current climate. These articles are written so that tabloid writers who are allotted 15 minutes a day to turn in a Bond article will quote them and send traffic to the website.
Circle back to this in a week or two.
Correct. It differs from state to state.
In some german states they allow 100%, in others 50%.
But 25% is not accurate at all any more.
They pretty much blew their marketing budget advertising the film over the last two years.
There's nothing wrong with your opinion, it's your life. Everyone has different risk tolerance. Totally defensible position.
However, if we're going to look at risky situations — let's look at riding in an automobile. Very dangerous thing! Thankfully, we have seatbelts and air bags and other safety mechanisms that greatly reduce the risk (but not to 0!) of death and serious injury if an accident occurs.
Sort of like vaccines, distancing, and masks.
Maybe even circuit breaker lockdown
I’m actually interested as to what they will do- whether it will be delayed again
.
We were talking about the risk in a movie theatre compared to other locations like a restaurant, school, public transport etc.
And the risk of getting the virus in a movie theatre is way lower in a movie theatre than elsewhere.
Who are the cases and deaths in your home state?
90% of them not vaccinated?
Then a vaccinated person would not have a high risk to get severe ill.
So, yes. Of course the risk is not down (and will never be) if you're not vaccinated. But for vaccinated people the risk is down as down as it can get.
Are you refering to the UK? Why on earth would there be another lockdown?
If not, all the people who were vaccinated in spring and summer will be without vaccination in December/January/February.
I got my second jab in mid-July. So I think the vaccination will work until Christmas. But then I'm not so sure anymore.
Agreed.There is always going to be a risk no matter what you do.To stay at home because of risk is no way to live.You take a risk every time you get behind the wheel of a car,does that mean you give up driving? You take a risk every time you board a plane,does that mean you give up flying?
By all means take precautions,but get out there and live your life.
Huge +1.
Erm, it will still work after Christmas ...
Shang-Chi
Dune
NTTD
Eternals
Top Gun: Maverick
Spider-Man: No Way Home (for me, more like "Spiderman: No Way Another One")
The IMAX theater there is nice and LARGE, with a very high ceiling. I don't know their policies now, but we'll see what they'll have as time goes by during the course of these releases, particularly in terms of density of the audience...I mean placement of their bodies, not their brains.
From the point of view of someone living with someone who is clinically extremely vulnerable in an area where COVID cases are nearly double as high as where they were in the first wave, I must disagree. Data from Israel (with high vaccination like the UK) shows that 60% of people severely ill with COVID are double jabbed. This comment is not designed to scare, but everyone should judge whether it's safe based on their situation, and what is going on in their area.
In Italy for example 94% of people in ICU has NOT been vaccinated.
The only thing I really can’t stand is the notion that theaters are riskier places than trains, bar, restaurants etc etc. Theaters are not riskier. They’re just more expendable.
Driving in a car is not the same as a highly communicable disease. C'mon.
That is true. Public transport and schools are the most transmittable places
Still, the levels of risk based on fatalities, hospitalizations can be compared.
Well this is bad news… fear of another delay, rising
Don’t wanna jinx it and I know I’ve been one of the more pessimistic voices here but after this marketing blowout they’ve unleashed, combined with recent statements from MGM, venues secured for the premiere, all of which are promoting it…they’ve reached the point of no return now.
Top Gun was likely delayed because they think Covid will be hitting much worse in late November when it was scheduled to release. That’s pretty different from September. And MI7 seems to still be filming so it makes sense that was delayed.
No Time to Die is not delaying unless they are legally required to (shutdowns), which will not happen.
I don't know how clearer they can be with this point!
And no where near as popular. People can live without movie theaters, but god forbid they can’t have their live concerts, restaurants, bars, etc. Theaters are the place where you can’t even talk and socialize like in other venues, so it’s “less cool”.
Yeah, this is something that's really frustrating me. There is no world where a movie theater — where at most a couple hundred people are silent — is significantly more dangerous than an NBA arena with 20,000 people screaming for the same length of time.
It's being drafted as we speak.