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But Tenet and Mulan do. I think NTTD has more than a fair chance to be critically received better than those two "contenders."
There are still hundreds of movies in 2020, already more than 200 movies, that were released theatrical in the US this year:
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2020/?grossesOption=totalGrosses
Yes, there might be the same categories, that Skyfall and Spectre were nominated and won, like Song, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Cinematography.
Oh, and it might interest you to know that Tenet managed to attract 1 614 471
viewers in France in three weeks. Source :
http://www.jpbox-office.com/charts_france.php?filtre=datefr&infla=0&variable=2020
Movie Theaters Returned. Audiences Didn’t. Now What?
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/15/business/media/tenet-movie-theaters-coronavirus.html
Key take away (1):
“The industry needs New York to open as soon as possible,” said Ken Thewes, Regal Cinemas’ chief marketing officer. “Governor Cuomo has done a great job getting it under control, but we really need him to give cinemas the same thought that he’s given to the restaurant industry and let us resume operations.”
Key take away (2):
If those markets don’t open, and the studios get skittish, theater operators may have to take some dramatic steps to weather the storm. Shawn Robbins, chief analyst at Box Office Pro, said cinemas may start reducing operating hours to minimize expenses — perhaps going down to 7 p.m. and 9 p.m. screenings only, and foregoing matinees and early-evening screenings. In some cases, theaters have leases that require them to operate seven days a week. For those that don’t, showing movies only on weekends may be an option.
IMO
Living in New York City, my “gut” tells me that movie theaters will be allowed to re-open here in some capacity in the October/November time frame. Whether people will want to attend, is an entirely different matter. The next few weeks will be critical (i.e., how safely can we re-open the schools and indoor dining?).
Anecdotally, while people seem to be slowly returning to “on-site” work, attendance is very low at the various museums that re-opened several weeks ago. One likely reason for that could be that tourists consist of a large proportion of NYC museum attendance, an issue that won’t necessarily be the case for movie theaters in the city. The larger question will be how many “non die-hards” will attend a movie screening if they can see the film on VOD or DVD in a couple of months. Or, is there pent up demand among movie goers? A demand that TENET was unable to take advantage of?
Again, without any real facts and just by “gut”: I think that “Wonder Woman 84” will probably be that movie (i.e., lots of young girls and their parents!!). NTTD will certainly bring in the die-hards like me, but will the casual movie goer attend? I go back and forth on that last question, since while Bond films tend to have broad cross-generational appeal, it does skew a bit older.
There is no jury at the Oscars.
It's thousands of filmmakers.
https://deadline.com/2020/09/connected-sony-pictures-animation-delayed-coronavirus-1234579241/
Only five wide releases remain before NTTD.
I am worried that NTTD's box office could even be more limited than Tenet's by November, if the amount of opened territories starts to shrink in the weeks leading up to the release date.
Why would they distribute it to "all the people in the world"?
I mean there was a day where there was only -10 case in our countries, and these minus ten sprayed it, and people who had caught it spread it too, etc... Only one guy is enought to relaunch it if he had contact with lot of peoples?
But what is about other pandemic the world get rid without vaccine? I don't know. But I guess the COVID-19 and the sanitary measures that gouvernements takes will not be over without a good portion of there population have been vaccinate? And it's not a lockdown who will change anything exept for ruining economy & delay collective imunity (ohterwise we wouldn't talk right now of second wave in country who had one).
It might be just a guess on my part but i think situation might be better in 2021 compare to now.
In the West? Yeah, I tend to agree. (Just a guess too, of course.) Almost everywhere else? I doubt it...
BBC News - Covid-19: Second wave now hitting the UK, says Boris Johnson
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54212654
Cases are also surging in Spain, France and Portugal now. About 4 major cities in France have very strict restrictions as of this week.
If the UK is out the picture then that's definitely the tipping point I think. Either delay (most likely) or some sort of PVOD solution for US and UK (less likely)
- incremental Tenet-style delays, a couple of weeks at a time
- outright 2021 delay - potentially a problem, as mentioned in Baz's thing this morning, restarting the marketing proper, almost from scratch, a third time already, especially after going ahead and printing stuff with NOVEMBER...
- PVOD
I highly doubt it will be better in my country, still hoping for the best as i want to watch NTTD in theatre :(